However, to put it bluntly, most retail investors are positioned at the bottom of the stock market and are the weakest side in the short-term game. If you are not convinced, you can ask yourself: Are you sure that all the information you get is accurate first-hand information, not second-hand information that has been spread all over the world and it is difficult to tell the truth from the false? Are you sure you can really overcome human nature, be more ruthless than institutions and most retail investors, and strictly abide by trading discipline?The current position of the market is in the circle. Generally speaking, when the market starts to rise, it is always unconscious to most people, because many people are aware of it after seeing the facts. It used to be said that stock trading is "seven-point mentality, two-point technology and one-point luck". I think this statement is correct, but in A shares, it is more accurate to change the mentality to policy+mentality. Although the stock markets all over the world are policy markets, A shares are more obvious.The concept of robot has been fermented since the end of November, and it has been rising for two weeks in a row. The explosive power is no less than that of AI after the Spring Festival last year! After each disagreement, it is quickly repaired, indicating that the market has a very high recognition of its main line. This direction may run through the whole of December. galaxy electronics, who has the concept of a robot in his hand, has started, and the other one is coming soon.
As soon as the data came out, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December rose to 97.7%, and there was basically no suspense! The fed's continued interest rate cuts will naturally help our monetary policy to be more relaxed, which is good for the big A!The general direction is that the country wants the stock market to be bullish, so can it be proved technically? Among many technical analysis indicators, I only look at four indicators: K-line, MA, MACD and volume, and I must use long-term indicators to judge the general direction, that is, monthly and quarterly indicators.If you can't, it means that the winning rate of every small decision you make is not high. Small decisions with low winning rate will be amplified by high-frequency operation, and the result is that the more you do, the more mistakes you make. Therefore, retail investors want to make money through high-frequency decision-making to predict the market, and the probability of success is doomed to be very low, and they can't make a few money. The short-term market is almost a pure game market, but in the long run, the stock price will always fluctuate around the intrinsic value, even a shares are no exception.
Before September, the market has always been a high dividend for defense and hedging, and the market is specially estimated. The incremental fund is the national team; Since the end of September, the market has been the mainstream theme, with low price and small ticket style. The incremental funds are new investors entering the market and old investors recharging.After the imperial court, the Milky Way started to accelerate again, and December was a month of harvest!In a bull market, the market is full of liquidity and investors have a high risk appetite, and the stock price is generally higher than the intrinsic value. In a bear market, expectations are pessimistic and liquidity is exhausted, and the stock price is generally lower than the intrinsic value. Although the stock price will deviate from the intrinsic value most of the time, the stock price is infinitely close to the intrinsic value for a long time.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14